Nocerina vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
NOC
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 1
LOC
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
NOC
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -3 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
AEE
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
ASD
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 4
GEL
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
CIT
47%
22%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
CIT
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
CIT
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |