Nocerina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 1
NOC
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
JUS
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOC
60%
23%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
NOC
1 - 0
ANC
23%
27%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
LOD
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
5 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 1
CAT
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |