Nocerina vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
31.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SAS
3 - 0
NOC
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
NOC
0 - 2
TAR
23%
28%
50%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
ASC
3 - 1
NOC
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 1
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
NOC
59%
25%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAT
35%
29%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
PES
2 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
2 - 0
SOR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAS
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LAQ
1 - 0
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |