Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 3-3
Nocerina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.4%
80.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 1
NOC
95%
5%
1%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
JUV
4%
16%
80%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 2
NOC
79%
16%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
PRG
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
PIA
10%
25%
65%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
ACM
0 - 1
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
CAG
3 - 4
SAM
29%
26%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAG
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
CAG
4 - 1
FIO
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAG
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |