Nocerina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
NOC
62%
24%
14%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
NOC
0 - 1
USF
32%
29%
39%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
TER
1 - 0
NOC
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOC
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
NOC
0 - 1
PES
36%
30%
34%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
CAG
1 - 1
PES
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
UDI
0 - 0
CAG
47%
30%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
CAG
2 - 0
BAR
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAG
47%
30%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CAG
5 - 1
LEC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |