Nocerina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAS
3 - 1
NOC
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
NOC
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 0
USF
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 0
ASG
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 1
NOC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
VIC
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
5 - 0
LAQ
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
FIO
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CES
1 - 0
BRE
45%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |