Nocerina vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 2
NOC
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
NOC
1 - 0
GIU
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOC
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
AVE
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
NOC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 2
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |