Nocerina vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
NOC
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
ROC
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
NOC
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
CCI
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 2
NOC
19%
23%
57%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 0
PIC
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FBC
0 - 1
AUD
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AUD
3 - 1
FCF
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
POM
2 - 4
AUD
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AUD
2 - 2
SSE
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |