Nocerina vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
NOC
0 - 3
LEC
22%
24%
55%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 0
NOC
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 0
LAQ
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOC
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 0
NOC
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 0
ASG
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PRG
3 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
PON
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |