Nocerina vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
LOD
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 0
NOC
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASC
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
NOC
0 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ANC
1 - 1
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 2
ANC
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ANC
6 - 1
LOD
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 0
ANC
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |