Nocerina vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 2
NOC
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
NOC
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 2
ASD
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
ACI
40%
23%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
GEL
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
ACI
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |