Nocerina vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VFC
1 - 1
NOC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NOC
3 - 0
ACG
65%
21%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
NOC
63%
22%
14%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 3
NOC
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 2
NOC
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 2
ITA
49%
25%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BV5
4 - 1
ACS
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 1
ACS
59%
24%
17%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 2
BV5
24%
27%
49%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GIU
1 - 0
ACS
57%
24%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |