Nocerina vs Locri 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
NOC
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
AEE
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
ASD
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOC
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
GEL
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
ROC
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |