Nocerina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
USF
3 - 0
NOC
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 1
TER
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEN
35%
30%
35%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
PES
2 - 1
NOC
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
PES
45%
32%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
VAR
0 - 3
CES
46%
29%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CES
1 - 0
RIM
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CES
1 - 2
SPA
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |