Nocerina vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOC
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 1
NOC
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
NOC
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
NOC
2 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CRO
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 3
ARZ
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAT
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAS
29%
29%
43%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |