Nocerina U19 vs Ascoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOC
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NOC
4 - 3
CRO
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 3
NAP
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
4 - 2
NOC
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 0
NOC
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PES
1 - 2
ASC
44%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ASC
5 - 1
ASG
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
ASC
69%
18%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
ASC
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 3
LAZ
14%
20%
67%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |