Nkwazi vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nkwazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ZAN
2 - 0
NKW
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
KAF
3 - 1
NKW
56%
22%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NKW
2 - 2
LUD
38%
28%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
POW
1 - 0
NKW
55%
26%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NKW
0 - 1
BFC
31%
29%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
POW
0 - 0
RED
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
RED
1 - 0
LUD
50%
27%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RED
3 - 1
BFC
42%
28%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
RED
42%
28%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
RED
2 - 1
PRL
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |