Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lublinianka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
15º
10º
23
3º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podhale Nowy Targ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
POD
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
ORP
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SOK
1 - 2
POD
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
POD
1 - 1
PBP
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSZ
1 - 1
POD
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lublinianka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUB
3 - 0
CPO
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASW
1 - 1
LUB
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 2
MSK
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WIS
2 - 0
LUB
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
0 - 2
WIE
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |