CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 0-5
Nkana FC vs Zamalek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
75%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nkana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EAG
0 - 0
NKA
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
KCC
1 - 2
NKA
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NKA
2 - 2
KCC
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NKA
5 - 2
MBA
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MBA
2 - 0
NKA
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
ZAM
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TEL
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
KAB
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 0
KAB
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
ELS
1 - 1
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |