Nkana FC vs Mutondo Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nkana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
NKA
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ZAN
0 - 1
NKA
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NKA
0 - 1
KAB
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KAD
0 - 0
NKA
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NKA
2 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mutondo Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 2
EAG
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RED
3 - 1
MUS
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
ZAN
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
KAB
0 - 2
MUS
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MUS
2 - 0
KAD
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +5 |