CAF Champions Last 16
Global 4-3
Nkana FC vs KCCA FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nkana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NKA
5 - 2
MBA
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MBA
2 - 0
NKA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NKA
4 - 1
RED
59%
25%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POW
1 - 1
NKA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NKA
1 - 1
ZES
54%
25%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KCCA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
KCC
8 - 1
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
KCC
1 - 2
ALM
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 2
KCC
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
KCC
0 - 1
SIM
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
URA
2 - 3
KCC
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |