NK Varazdin vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
POM
1 - 1
NKV
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
POM
1 - 0
NKV
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
NKV
2 - 0
SLA
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
NKV
3 - 2
POM
69%
18%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
DZG
3 - 1
NKV
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ZAD
2 - 1
ZAG
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
HKS
4 - 0
ZAD
78%
15%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
ZAD
1 - 0
OSI
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
ZAD
2 - 3
POM
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SLA
1 - 2
ZAD
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |