NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
6º
5º
39
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 65 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 63 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 55 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 49 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 41 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 39 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 29% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 62% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HNG
1 - 1
NKV
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
3 - 2
NKV
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
NKV
2 - 0
NKD
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 0
SLA
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 2
NKV
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
RIJ
1 - 0
OPA
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RIJ
4 - 1
LOK
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 1
RIJ
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
RIJ
2 - 0
STR
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
RIJ
0 - 1
RAD
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |