NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
DZG
4 - 1
NKV
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
NKV
5 - 0
IST
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
DZG
3 - 0
NKV
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
IST
2 - 0
NKV
25%
24%
50%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
NKV
3 - 2
ZAD
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RIJ
2 - 1
OSI
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
RIJ
2 - 0
KIV
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
RIJ
0 - 1
INT
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
KIV
2 - 3
RIJ
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
KIV
0 - 1
RIJ
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |