NK Varazdin vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
NKV
0 - 2
DZG
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
DVS
3 - 2
NKV
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ZAD
2 - 2
NKV
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 0
NKV
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NKV
1 - 3
DVS
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 4
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
KIV
5 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 0
ZAG
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
HKS
5 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |