NK Varazdin vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
43
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
HNG
5 - 2
NKV
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 0
RIJ
25%
25%
51%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 2
NKV
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 3
OSI
25%
26%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
DZG
2 - 0
NKV
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 1
IST
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 0
LOK
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 3
HKS
24%
24%
53%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 2
HNG
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |