NK Varazdin vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
6º
5º
18
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 65 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 55 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 49 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 38 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 36 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 1
LOK
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 1
HNG
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
NKV
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 0
HKS
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
NKV
66%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 0
HNG
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 2
SLA
43%
24%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
0 - 3
LOK
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
0 - 4
DZG
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 2
HNS
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |