NK Varazdin vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
RIJ
0 - 2
NKV
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
OSI
1 - 2
NKV
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 4
NKV
18%
21%
61%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
NKV
2 - 0
ZAG
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
HKS
3 - 1
NKV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
HNS
3 - 0
ZAG
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
HKS
3 - 1
HNS
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
HNS
1 - 2
DZG
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
HNS
3 - 3
ZAD
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
POM
1 - 1
HNS
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |