NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
8º
6º
41
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 1
NKV
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 2
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RIJ
2 - 0
NKV
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HKS
5 - 0
NKV
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 1
HKS
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IST
0 - 0
HNG
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 3
HKS
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
HNG
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
DZG
4 - 0
HNG
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 0
SLA
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |