NK Varazdin vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
INT
0 - 0
NKV
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
NKV
1 - 0
KIV
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
ZAG
1 - 1
NKV
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
NKV
2 - 0
HKS
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SLA
2 - 1
NKV
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAD
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
HNK
1 - 0
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
KIV
3 - 2
HNK
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAG
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
HKS
3 - 1
HNK
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |