NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
8º
6º
68
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 0
RUD
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 3
NKV
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 2
SLA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 1
NKV
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 1
ALI
42%
24%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 2
HKS
10%
20%
70%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
HKS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HKS
3 - 0
SLA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 0
PAO
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 0
RIJ
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |