Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 9-0
NK Varazdin vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
NKV
2 - 0
OSI
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NKV
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
NKV
0 - 1
HKS
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
NKV
2 - 1
CAK
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
NKV
0 - 1
ZAG
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
SHR
2 - 1
DUN
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 2
SHR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MON
0 - 3
DUN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
STP
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2002 |
BRW
1 - 2
DUN
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |