UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
NK Varazdin vs Dinamo City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
DIN
2 - 1
NKV
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
HKS
6 - 0
NKV
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
NKV
3 - 1
ZAG
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
NKV
1 - 2
INT
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SLA
2 - 2
NKV
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
DIN
2 - 1
NKV
37%
25%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
DIN
0 - 1
TIR
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
TEU
2 - 2
DIN
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
DIN
1 - 0
LUS
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
DIN
14%
23%
64%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |