Varteks vs Podravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
22
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 0
NKV
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 1
POD
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NDD
3 - 0
NKV
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NKV
3 - 1
NKS
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RMS
1 - 1
NKV
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Podravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POD
2 - 3
PAP
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
POD
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NKK
5 - 2
POD
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
NKP
14%
18%
69%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POD
1 - 2
POD
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |