Urania vs Neretvanac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NER
3 - 2
UBV
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
JUN
4 - 0
UBV
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UBV
1 - 1
KAM
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HNK
1 - 0
UBV
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
UBV
1 - 4
SMR
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Neretvanac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NER
2 - 0
JUN
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
KAM
1 - 1
NER
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NER
2 - 2
HNK
53%
22%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
USK
2 - 1
NER
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
MZL
4 - 2
NER
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |