NK Tolmin vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
16º
16º
30
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
BRI
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
TOL
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 2
GOR
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ILI
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 0
KRK
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BIL
0 - 4
TRI
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 2
TAS
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 2
TRI
34%
25%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 1
BIS
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |