NK Tolmin vs Drava Ptuj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALU
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 3
NKD
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KRA
1 - 0
TOL
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 2
NKV
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 3
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Drava Ptuj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DRA
1 - 0
SEN
57%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALU
0 - 2
DRA
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DRA
2 - 1
RAD
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KRA
3 - 1
DRA
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NKD
2 - 1
DRA
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |