NK Tolmin vs ND Slovan Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
16º
16º
14
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 2
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
BIL
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NKP
2 - 2
TOL
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
GOR
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ILI
1 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ND Slovan Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NSV
1 - 2
BRI
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 1
NSV
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FVI
1 - 2
NSV
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NSV
5 - 0
SEN
58%
21%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KOC
2 - 3
NSV
17%
20%
64%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |