NK Tolmin vs NK Krka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
13º
11º
33
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
BIL
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
TOL
39%
24%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 2
DEK
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
NKN
3 - 0
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 0
RUD
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ILI
3 - 2
KRK
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
KRK
0 - 2
BEL
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TAS
0 - 2
KRK
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
KRK
2 - 3
NKP
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FUZ
1 - 1
KRK
22%
24%
55%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |