NK Tolmin vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
16º
16º
13
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
60.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
DEK
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKI
1 - 2
TOL
9%
14%
77%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
NSV
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 2
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
KRK
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIL
2 - 0
ALU
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 2
TAS
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 3
ALU
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
BIS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |