NK Rudar vs NK Papuk Orahovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
10º
4º
32
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Rudar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 0
RMS
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
RMS
3 - 3
NKV
51%
21%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PAP
0 - 3
RMS
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
RMS
3 - 1
POD
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
RMS
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NK Papuk Orahovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 0
NKV
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
POD
3 - 0
PAP
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PAP
0 - 3
RMS
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NKS
3 - 0
PAP
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
3 - 1
NKV
59%
20%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |