NK Rogaška vs Ilirija 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
KRK
2 - 1
ROG
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ROG
0 - 4
NKN
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NKD
2 - 2
ROG
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TAS
0 - 0
ROG
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ROG
3 - 2
BIL
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
ILI
0 - 0
BIL
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
ILI
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ILI
0 - 2
FUZ
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
ILI
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ILI
4 - 0
AHS
22%
21%
56%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |