NK Rogaška vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
10º
8º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
ROG
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 3
OLI
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 3
ROG
26%
22%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 0
BRA
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ROG
0 - 0
NSM
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 3
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALU
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 3
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |