NK Rogaška vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
10º
8º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 0
ROG
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
ROG
12%
17%
70%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ROG
0 - 2
OLI
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
2 - 0
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
0 - 2
NSM
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NSM
0 - 2
CEL
40%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
ALU
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAD
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |