NK Rogaška vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
10º
8º
31
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
ROG
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ROG
2 - 2
FCK
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 2
ROG
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
ROG
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ROG
1 - 2
CEL
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
BRA
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
3 - 1
ALU
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
ALU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
RAD
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
ALU
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |