NK Sesvete vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
12º
4º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Sesvete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 3
NKR
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
NKR
1 - 2
SOL
71%
17%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 1
NKR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 2
ORI
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 0
NKR
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
0 - 1
DUB
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 2
NKD
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
NKJ
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 3
BIJ
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 0
NKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |