Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 6-3
Primorje vs Zvartnots-AAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
NKM
3 - 0
NKP
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
NKN
2 - 1
NKP
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
NKP
4 - 0
SMA
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
DRA
4 - 0
NKP
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
KOR
0 - 1
NKP
31%
29%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zvartnots-AAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
KOT
0 - 5
ZAA
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2002 |
ULI
0 - 6
ZAA
26%
26%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2002 |
ZAA
1 - 2
BAN
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2002 |
ARA
1 - 0
ZAA
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2002 |
ARA
1 - 1
ZAA
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |