NK Polet vs Virovitica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.1%
2.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
22
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKP
0 - 1
NKS
91%
6%
2%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 2
NKP
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 0
NKV
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
2 - 4
NKP
7%
15%
78%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
4 - 3
TEH
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
NKV
20%
21%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
1 - 0
VIR
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKK
2 - 0
VIR
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
POD
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NKP
2 - 1
VIR
91%
7%
3%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |