NK Polet vs Varteks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
2 - 4
NKP
7%
15%
78%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
4 - 3
TEH
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NKN
2 - 1
NKP
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NKP
2 - 1
VIR
91%
7%
3%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
NKP
14%
18%
69%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 1
POD
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NDD
3 - 0
NKV
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NKV
3 - 1
NKS
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RMS
1 - 1
NKV
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 0
NKK
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |