Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-1
NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
NKO
1 - 2
RUD
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
CEL
1 - 0
NKO
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1996 |
AGF
1 - 1
NKO
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
NKO
1 - 1
BEL
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
NKM
3 - 0
NKO
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
HVI
3 - 2
AGF
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
AGF
6 - 1
AAB
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1996 |
AGF
1 - 1
NKO
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
OBK
1 - 0
AGF
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
AGF
3 - 1
FCK
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |